Duece Watts is a Vertical Threat WR for Tulane. Duece's 2022 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 52 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
Elite deep receiver who stretches the field. Wins downfield, commands safety attention, and creates the threat that opens underneath routes.
Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsMassachusetts | W42-10 | -30.3 | 1 | 31 | 31.0 | 1 | 31 | 0.10 |
| 3 | @Kansas State | W17-10 | 21.4 | 3 | 60 | 20.0 | 0 | 23 | 1.08 |
| 4 | vsSouthern Miss | L24-27 | -3.5 | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | 0 | 13 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Rec 2 · Rec Yds 83 · Avg 41.5 · Rec TD 0
| 0.94 |
| 5 | @Houston | W27-24 | 4.5 | 3 | 50 | 16.7 | 1 | 23 | 0.41 |
| 6 | vsEast Carolina | W24-9 | 1.1 | 4 | 93 | 23.3 | 1 | 44 | 1.89 |
| 7 | @South Florida | W45-31 | -17.0 | 4 | 48 | 12.0 | 1 | 20 | 1.75 |
| 8 | vsMemphis | W38-28 | 6.8 | 3 | 17 | 5.7 | 1 | 8 | 0.78 |
| 10 | @Tulsa | W27-13 | -6.1 | 2 | 42 | 21.0 | 0 | 29 | 1.01 |
| 11 | vsUCF | L31-38 | 10.3 | 6 | 56 | 9.3 | 1 | 29 | 0.37 |
| 13 | @Cincinnati | W27-24 | 13.1 | 1 | 30 | 30.0 | 1 | 30 | -0.09 |
| 14 | vsUCF | W45-28 | 10.3 | 3 | 134 | 44.7 | 1 | 73 | 1.48 |
| 1 | vsUSC | W46-45 | 18.9 | 2 | 83 | 41.5 | 0 | 59 | 0.51 |
