

Josh Downs is a Versatile WR for North Carolina. Josh's 2021 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 133 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.
Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Virginia Tech | L10-17 | 2.4 | 8 | 123 | 15.4 | 1 | 37 | 1.02 |
| 2 | vsGeorgia State | W59-17 | 1.8 | 8 | 73 | 9.1 | 1 | 13 | 0.43 |
| 3 | vsVirginia | W59-39 | 7.2 | 8 | 203 | 25.4 | 2 | 59 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Rec 3 · Rec Yds 62 · Avg 20.7 · Rec TD 0
| 2.08 |
| 4 | vsGeorgia Tech | L22-45 | -6.7 | 8 | 53 | 6.6 | 1 | 16 | 0.29 |
| 5 | vsDuke | W38-7 | -13.5 | 8 | 168 | 21.0 | 1 | 63 | 1.01 |
| 6 | vsFlorida State | L25-35 | 7.6 | 9 | 121 | 13.4 | 1 | 33 | 0.79 |
| 7 | vsMiami | W45-42 | 10.8 | 11 | 96 | 8.7 | 1 | 45 | 0.31 |
| 9 | @Notre Dame | L34-44 | 17.4 | 10 | 142 | 14.2 | 0 | 41 | 0.48 |
| 10 | vsWake Forest | W58-55 | 10.1 | 4 | 35 | 8.8 | 0 | 16 | 0.41 |
| 11 | @Pittsburgh | L23-30 | 17.6 | 8 | 95 | 11.9 | 0 | 46 | 0.22 |
| 12 | vsWofford | W34-14 | — | 8 | 89 | 11.1 | 0 | 23 | 0.43 |
| 13 | @NC State | L30-34 | 16.1 | 8 | 75 | 9.4 | 0 | 19 | 0.32 |
| 1 | vsSouth Carolina | L21-38 | 3.9 | 3 | 62 | 20.7 | 0 | 34 | 0.78 |