Josh Downs is a Slot Specialist WR for North Carolina. Josh's 2022 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 113 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.
Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsFlorida A&M | W56-24 | — | 9 | 78 | 8.7 | 2 | 27 | 0.95 |
| 4 | vsNotre Dame | L32-45 | 10.3 | 5 | 32 | 6.4 | 2 | 14 | 1.14 |
| 5 | vsVirginia Tech | W41-10 | -9.5 | 8 | 120 | 15.0 | 0 | 33 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Rec 11 · Rec Yds 100 · Avg 9.1 · Rec TD 0
| 1.73 |
| 6 | @Miami | W27-24 | -2.7 | 6 | 69 | 11.5 | 1 | 22 | 0.46 |
| 7 | @Duke | W38-35 | 5.0 | 9 | 126 | 14.0 | 0 | 38 | 0.75 |
| 9 | vsPittsburgh | W42-24 | 8.6 | 11 | 102 | 9.3 | 2 | 25 | 0.17 |
| 10 | @Virginia | W31-28 | -9.0 | 15 | 166 | 11.1 | 1 | 32 | 0.97 |
| 11 | @Wake Forest | W36-34 | 8.2 | 11 | 154 | 14.0 | 3 | 43 | 0.87 |
| 12 | vsGeorgia Tech | L17-21 | -11.8 | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | 0 | 25 | -0.24 |
| 13 | vsNC State | L27-30 | 6.8 | 6 | 51 | 8.5 | 0 | 15 | 0.05 |
| 14 | vsClemson | L10-39 | 17.6 | 11 | 100 | 9.1 | 0 | 28 | 0.89 |