Justin Holmes is a Slot Specialist WR for San José State. Justin's 2016 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 60 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Tulsa | L10-45 | 7.4 | 2 | 44 | 22.0 | 0 | 26 | 0.58 |
| 2 | vsPortland State | W66-35 | — | 2 | 68 | 34.0 | 1 | 46 | 2.02 |
| 3 | vsUtah | L17-34 | 10.9 | 2 | 37 | 18.5 | 0 | 19 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Rec 5 · Rec Yds 43 · Avg 8.6 · Rec TD 0
| 0.59 |
| 4 | @Iowa State | L10-44 | 0.7 | 3 | 48 | 16.0 | 0 | 20 | 0.68 |
| 5 | @New Mexico | L41-48 | -5.1 | 4 | 99 | 24.8 | 0 | 41 | 1.21 |
| 6 | vsHawai'i | L17-34 | -10.1 | 4 | 37 | 9.3 | 1 | 12 | 0.38 |
| 7 | vsNevada | W14-10 | -13.0 | 3 | 32 | 10.7 | 0 | 16 | 0.49 |
| 8 | @San Diego State | L3-42 | 11.4 | 2 | 32 | 16.0 | 0 | 23 | -0.10 |
| 9 | vsUNLV | W30-24 | -14.3 | 2 | 34 | 17.0 | 0 | 19 | 0.12 |
| 10 | @Boise State | L31-45 | 11.5 | 6 | 106 | 17.7 | 1 | 39 | 0.60 |
| 12 | vsAir Force | L38-41 | 4.4 | 4 | 33 | 8.3 | 0 | 13 | 0.69 |
| 13 | @Fresno State | W16-14 | -16.9 | 5 | 43 | 8.6 | 0 | 12 | 0.44 |