Keytaon Thompson is a 3-year Red Zone Weapon WR for Virginia. Keytaon's 2020 season ranks in the 75th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 51 plays — a above-average rate for the WR. Production has trended downward season-over-season on adjusted value metrics.
Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.
Goes from good to great inside the 20 — high TD conversion on limited looks makes this receiver a scoring machine.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ainias Smith | Texas A&M | 2020 | 55 | 0.310 | 0.5 | 17.0 |
| Cade Harris | Air Force | 2024 | 45 | 0.330 | 0.5 | 14.8 |
| Nick Nash | San José State | 2021 | 45 | 0.310 | 0.5 | 14.0 |
| Xavier White | Texas Tech | 2020 | 62 | 0.300 | 0.5 | 18.6 |
| Luke McCaffrey | Nebraska | 2020 | 62 | 0.300 | 0.7 | 18.6 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vsDuke | W38-20 | -4.2 | — | — | — | — | — | -1.10 |
| 5 | @Clemson | L23-41 | 26.1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | 3 | 1.46 |
| 7 | @Wake Forest | L23-40 | 0.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0.28 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Mississippi State | 1.2 | 0.460 | — | 32.2 |
| 2020 | Virginia | 0.4 | 0.320 | -0.14 | 12.5 |
| 2021 | Virginia | 0.6 | 0.370 | +0.05 | 15.2 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
Rec 1 · Rec Yds 11 · Avg 11.0 · Rec TD 1
| 8 | @Miami | L14-19 | 12.8 | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 0 | 11 | 0.36 |
| 9 | vsNorth Carolina | W44-41 | 18.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0.25 |
| 12 | vsAbilene Christian | W55-15 | — | 2 | 66 | 33.0 | 1 | 56 | 0.74 |
| 14 | vsBoston College | W43-32 | 0.9 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 7 | 0.65 |
| 15 | @Virginia Tech | L15-33 | 13.7 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 1 | 11 | -0.19 |
