Virginia Cavaliers
ACC··0-0
0 followers
Elo
1637
#38
SP+
11.1
#31
O56/D19
FPI
8.2
SRS
9.8
AP
#20
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 11 to play7.5 – 3.5
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
7.5
of 11 games
Bowl odds
93%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
94%
vs Syracuse
Toughest
21%
vs SMU
💬Virginia Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
419.1#29
Yards / play
5.7#73
Passing yards / game
239.1#55
Rushing yards / game
179.9#37
First downs / game
21.6#47
3rd down %
49.8%#11
4th down %
46.9%#102
Time of possession
32:16#19
Defense
Yards allowed / game
311.1#20
Yards / play allowed
5.0#28
Pass yards allowed / game
195.6#33
Rush yards allowed / game
115.6#23
3rd down % allowed
28.0%#2
Sacks
30#42
Tackles for loss
67#71
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
+6#27
Takeaways
20#35
Giveaways
14#35
Penalties / game
5.3#36
Penalty yards / game
44.1#28
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
Wk 1vs
NC StateSat-3.761%Wk 2vsNorfolk StateFriWk 3vs
West VirginiaSat-13.885%Wk 4vs
DelawareSat-13.684%Wk 5@
Florida StateSat-0.852%Wk 6vs
SyracuseSat-20.694%Wk 7@
SMUSat+11.021%Wk 8vs
DukeFri-3.059%Wk 9@
Wake ForestSat-1.855%Wk 11vs
CaliforniaSat-13.584%Wk 12vs
North CarolinaSat-15.187%Wk 13@
Virginia TechSat-7.872%
NC StateSat-3.761%Wk 2vsNorfolk StateFriWk 3vsWest VirginiaSat-13.885%Wk 4vsDelawareSat-13.684%Wk 5@Florida StateSat-0.852%Wk 6vsSyracuseSat-20.694%Wk 7@SMUSat+11.021%Wk 8vsDukeFri-3.059%Wk 9@Wake ForestSat-1.855%Wk 11vsCaliforniaSat-13.584%Wk 12vsNorth CarolinaSat-15.187%Wk 13@Virginia TechSat-7.872%2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
10
Avg stars
3.00
Avg rating
0.8585
10 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cope#636 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8793 | Trussville, AL |
| Dallas Brannon#1274 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8656 | Charlotte, NC |
| Michael Gildea#1500 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8600 | Princeton, NJ |
| Dylan Biehl#1371 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8589 | Suwanee, GA |
| Luke Hatfield#1615 nat'l | IOL | ★★★★★ | 0.8589 | Haymarket, VA |
| Jayden Covil#1615 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8589 | Chesapeake, VA |
| Jack Rhodes#1838 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8533 | Augusta, GA |
| Jae'Oyn Williams#1903 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8511 | Baltimore, MD |
| Ely Hamrick#1903 nat'l | QB | ★★★★★ | 0.8511 | Asheville, NC |
| Isaiah Harris#2126 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8478 | Richmond, VA |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-3 | 7-1 | 79% | 8.7 | +2.3 |
| 2024 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 42% | 4.3 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 25% | 5.3 | -2.3 |
| 2022 | 3-7 | 1-6 | 30% | 4.1 | -1.1 |
| 2021 | 6-6 | 4-5 | 50% | 4.6 | +1.4 |
| 2020 | 5-5 | 4-5 | 50% | 4.3 | +0.7 |
| 2019 | 9-5 | 6-3 | 64% | 8.4 | +0.6 |
| 2018 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 62% | 9.4 | -1.4 |
| 2017 | 6-7 | 3-5 | 46% | 5.8 | +0.2 |
| 2016 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 17% | 2.6 | -0.6 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).