Lamar Jackson is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Louisville. Lamar's 2016 season ranks in the 60th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 583 plays — a average rate for the QB.
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff | California | 2015 | 559 | 0.610 | 15.7 | 341.0 |
| Kyle Trask | Florida | 2020 | 536 | 0.648 | 16.3 | 347.5 |
| Chad Kelly | Ole Miss | 2015 | 583 | 0.635 | 17.5 | 370.2 |
| Baker Mayfield | Oklahoma | 2015 | 577 | 0.561 | 14.1 | 323.7 |
| Brandon Doughty | Western Kentucky | 2014 | 612 | 0.620 | 17.8 | 379.4 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsCharlotte | W70-14 | -20.9 | 17/23 | 286 | 6 | 0 | 98.5 | 119 | 2 | 0.98 |
| 2 | @Syracuse | W62-28 | -2.7 | 20/39 | 411 | 1 | 1 | 95.8 | 199 | 4 | 0.59 |
| 3 | vsFlorida State | W63-20 | 24.0 | 13/20 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Louisville | 16.1 | 0.543 | — | 387.6 |
| 2017 | Louisville | 16.8 | 0.576 | +0.03 | 384.9 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
C/ATT 10/27 · Pass Yds 153 · Pass TD 0 · INT 0
| 216 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 94.5 |
| 146 |
| 4 |
| 0.57 |
| 4 | @Marshall | W59-28 | -12.7 | 24/44 | 417 | 5 | 1 | 81.0 | 62 | 2 | 0.49 |
| 5 | @Clemson | L36-42 | 28.7 | 27/44 | 295 | 1 | 1 | 71.0 | 162 | 2 | 0.28 |
| 7 | vsDuke | W24-14 | -2.8 | 13/26 | 181 | 1 | 0 | 72.5 | 144 | 1 | 0.32 |
| 8 | vsNC State | W54-13 | 9.4 | 20/34 | 355 | 3 | 0 | 90.1 | 76 | 1 | 0.50 |
| 9 | @Virginia | W32-25 | -3.8 | 24/41 | 361 | 4 | 1 | 81.5 | 88 | 0 | 0.52 |
| 10 | @Boston College | W52-7 | -1.6 | 12/17 | 231 | 4 | 1 | 99.8 | 185 | 3 | 0.93 |
| 11 | vsWake Forest | W44-12 | -0.6 | 14/26 | 145 | 1 | 0 | 48.8 | 153 | 0 | 0.14 |
| 12 | @Houston | L10-36 | 10.1 | 20/43 | 211 | 1 | 0 | 20.3 | 33 | 0 | 0.04 |
| 13 | vsKentucky | L38-41 | -2.6 | 16/25 | 281 | 2 | 3 | 76.4 | 171 | 2 | 0.35 |
| 1 | vsLSU | L9-29 | 25.3 | 10/27 | 153 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 | 33 | 0 | -0.23 |