Chad Kelly is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Ole Miss. Chad's 2015 season ranks in the 90th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 522 plays — a elite rate for the QB.
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Fields | Ohio State | 2019 | 540 | 0.713 | 17.0 | 385.1 |
| Kyle Trask | Florida | 2020 | 536 | 0.648 | 16.3 | 347.5 |
| Jalen Hurts | Oklahoma | 2019 | 557 | 0.708 | 17.3 | 394.2 |
| Bo Nix | Oregon | 2023 | 540 | 0.722 | 16.7 | 390.0 |
| Brandon Doughty | Western Kentucky | 2015 | 571 | 0.690 | 18.2 | 394.0 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsUT Martin | W76-3 | — | 9/15 | 211 | 2 | 1 | 92.3 | 20 | 1 | 0.92 |
| 2 | vsFresno State | W73-21 | -12.6 | 20/25 | 346 | 4 | 0 | 98.4 | 26 | 1 | 0.99 |
| 3 | @Alabama | W43-37 | 29.0 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
C/ATT 21/33 · Pass Yds 302 · Pass TD 4 · INT 1
| 18/33 |
| 341 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 73.4 |
| 21 |
| 1 |
| 0.55 |
| 4 | vsVanderbilt | W27-16 | -1.6 | 24/42 | 321 | 1 | 2 | 50.1 | -10 | 0 | 0.22 |
| 5 | @Florida | L10-38 | 13.8 | 26/40 | 259 | 1 | 1 | 40.6 | 40 | 0 | 0.33 |
| 6 | vsNew Mexico State | W52-3 | -18.6 | 24/33 | 384 | 3 | 1 | 93.6 | 32 | 1 | 0.69 |
| 7 | @Memphis | L24-37 | 8.0 | 33/47 | 372 | 2 | 2 | 49.1 | -11 | 0 | 0.30 |
| 8 | vsTexas A&M | W23-3 | 14.1 | 26/41 | 241 | 2 | 3 | 48.8 | 23 | 0 | 0.17 |
| 9 | @Auburn | W27-19 | 14.6 | 33/51 | 381 | 2 | 2 | 66.6 | 21 | 0 | 0.33 |
| 10 | vsArkansas | L52-53 | 19.2 | 24/34 | 368 | 3 | 0 | 98.6 | 110 | 3 | 0.79 |
| 12 | vsLSU | W38-17 | 19.7 | 19/34 | 280 | 2 | 0 | 81.7 | 81 | 2 | 0.41 |
| 13 | @Mississippi State | W38-27 | 15.1 | 21/30 | 236 | 2 | 0 | 93.6 | 74 | 1 | 0.62 |
| 1 | vsOklahoma State | W48-20 | 9.9 | 21/33 | 302 | 4 | 1 | 91.3 | 73 | 0 | 0.60 |
