Matt Breida is a 2-year Explosive Back for Georgia Southern. Matt's 2014 season ranks in the 98th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 175 plays — a elite rate for the RB.
Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Etienne | Clemson | 2018 | 214 | 0.620 | 6.8 | 132.7 |
| Devon Johnson | Marshall | 2014 | 208 | 0.520 | 6.0 | 108.2 |
| Darrell Henderson | Memphis | 2018 | 226 | 0.590 | 7.3 | 133.3 |
| Anthony Wales | Western Kentucky | 2016 | 235 | 0.570 | 7.0 | 134.0 |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | LSU | 2019 | 216 | 0.490 | 5.0 | 105.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @NC State | L23-24 | 8.1 | 10 | 87 | 8.7 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.42 |
| 2 | vsSavannah St | W83-9 | — | 8 | 60 | 7.5 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.93 |
| 3 | @Georgia Tech | L38-42 | 11.2 | 11 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Georgia Southern | 6.3 | 0.600 | — | 94.2 |
| 2015 | Georgia Southern | 4.5 | 0.430 | -0.17 | 81.7 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
Car 19 · Rush Yds 51 · Avg 2.7 · Rush TD 1
| 111 |
| 10.1 |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 52 |
| 0 |
| 0.91 |
| 4 | @South Alabama | W28-6 | -4.3 | 21 | 187 | 8.9 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.68 |
| 5 | vsApp State | W34-14 | -8.3 | 12 | 135 | 11.3 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.41 |
| 6 | @New Mexico State | W36-28 | -23.3 | 15 | 96 | 6.4 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.08 |
| 7 | vsIdaho | W47-24 | -17.4 | 19 | 155 | 8.2 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 1 | 0.43 |
| 9 | @Georgia State | W69-31 | -22.8 | 12 | 201 | 16.8 | 4 | — | — | — | 1.65 |
| 10 | vsTroy | W42-10 | -15.9 | 16 | 72 | 4.5 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | -0.01 |
| 11 | @Texas State | W28-25 | -7.4 | 11 | 120 | 10.9 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.59 |
| 12 | @Navy | L19-52 | 3.4 | 17 | 210 | 12.4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0.51 |
| 14 | vsUL Monroe | W22-16 | -10.0 | 19 | 51 | 2.7 | 1 | — | — | — | -0.14 |