

Payton Thorne is a 2-year Clutch Passer for Michigan State. Payton's 2022 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 423 plays — a developing rate for the QB.
Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.
Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsWestern Michigan | W35-13 | -17.3 | 12/24 | 233 | 4 | 1 | 68.2 | 22 | 0 | 0.33 |
| 2 | vsAkron | W52-0 | -23.4 | 18/28 | 212 | 0 | 2 | 52.4 | 0 | 0 | 0.30 |
| 3 | @Washington | L28-39 | 15.7 | 30/42 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Michigan State | 9.4 | 0.566 | — | 261.0 |
| 2024 | Auburn | 5.9 | 0.429 | -0.14 | 179.4 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
C/ATT 24/43 · Pass Yds 229 · Pass TD 1 · INT 1
| 323 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 80.9 |
| 12 |
| 0 |
| 0.47 |
| 4 | vsMinnesota | L7-34 | 16.0 | 17/24 | 132 | 0 | 2 | 10.3 | -3 | 0 | 0.03 |
| 5 | @Maryland | L13-27 | 11.2 | 27/44 | 221 | 1 | 0 | 63.2 | 14 | 0 | 0.11 |
| 6 | vsOhio State | L20-49 | 31.1 | 11/18 | 113 | 1 | 1 | 48.4 | -23 | 0 | -0.11 |
| 7 | vsWisconsin | W34-28 | 8.3 | 21/28 | 265 | 2 | 0 | 92.1 | -9 | 0 | 0.54 |
| 9 | @Michigan | L7-29 | 32.0 | 17/30 | 215 | 1 | 1 | 74.5 | 2 | 0 | 0.05 |
| 10 | @Illinois | W23-15 | 15.9 | 19/29 | 182 | 2 | 1 | 69.6 | 10 | 0 | 0.17 |
| 11 | vsRutgers | W27-21 | -9.1 | 19/35 | 256 | 2 | 0 | 68.8 | 33 | 0 | 0.15 |
| 12 | vsIndiana | L31-39 | -7.1 | 27/42 | 298 | 2 | 1 | 80.2 | 5 | 0 | 0.29 |
| 13 | @Penn State | L16-35 | 22.4 | 24/43 | 229 | 1 | 1 | 70.4 | -21 | 1 | 0.10 |