Michigan State Spartans
Big Ten··0-0
0 followers
Elo
1409
#83
SP+
-3.4
#82
O70/D81
FPI
0.8
SRS
-0.3
AP
NR
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 12 to play3.7 – 8.3
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
3.7
of 12 games
Bowl odds
10%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
75%
vs Eastern Michigan
Toughest
0%
vs Notre Dame
💬Michigan State Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
345.3#99
Yards / play
5.4#92
Passing yards / game
222.7#70
Rushing yards / game
122.7#110
First downs / game
18.8#101
3rd down %
34.6%#110
4th down %
44.4%#111
Time of possession
30:12#58
Defense
Yards allowed / game
379.9#74
Yards / play allowed
6.0#110
Pass yards allowed / game
231.3#93
Rush yards allowed / game
148.6#66
3rd down % allowed
42.0%#101
Sacks
22#89
Tackles for loss
56#113
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
-3#86
Takeaways
9#123
Giveaways
12#17
Penalties / game
5.3#33
Penalty yards / game
44.9#29
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
14
Avg stars
3.36
Avg rating
0.8741
5 4★9 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Campbell#197 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.9243 | Gilbert, AZ |
| Kayd Coffman#365 nat'l | QB | ★★★★★ | 0.8990 | Grand Rapids, MI |
| Samson Gash#382 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8971 | Novi, MI |
| Joey Caudill#434 nat'l | TE | ★★★★★ | 0.8928 | Mansfield, OH |
| Eli Bickel#459 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8911 | North Branch, MI |
| Eliyjah Caldwell-Hardy#1131 nat'l | S | ★★★★★ | 0.8689 | Jacksonville, FL |
| TJ Umenyiora#1158 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8678 | Roswell, GA |
| Cory House#1158 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8678 | Memphis, TN |
| Hudson Aultman#1227 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8667 | Delaware, OH |
| Jeremiah Favorite#1320 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8644 | Boiling Springs, SC |
| Adam Shaw#1177 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8625 | Hillsdale, NJ |
| Rai'shawn Elmore#1500 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8600 | Indian Trail, NC |
| Jack Lansing III#2313 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8400 | Hartland, MI |
| Jonathan Granby#2524 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8350 | Roswell, GA |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-8 | 1-8 | 33% | 4.5 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 5-7 | 3-6 | 42% | 4.5 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 4-8 | 2-7 | 33% | 4.3 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 5-7 | 3-6 | 42% | 3.9 | +1.1 |
| 2021 | 11-2 | 7-2 | 85% | 9.2 | +1.8 |
| 2020 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 29% | 2.6 | -0.6 |
| 2019 | 7-6 | 4-5 | 54% | 8.3 | -1.3 |
| 2018 | 7-6 | 5-4 | 54% | 7.2 | -0.2 |
| 2017 | 10-3 | 7-2 | 77% | 9.4 | +0.6 |
| 2016 | 3-9 | 1-8 | 25% | 4.8 | -1.8 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).