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East Texas A&M vs. SMU: Final Score & Recap
Sun, Aug 31, 1:00 AM
Gerald J. Ford Stadium
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EAST | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 13 |
| SMU | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 42 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelEAST 21% · SMU 79%
Pick: SMU
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
Drive-by-drive
EAST 6/14 scoring drives← own end zone →SMU 4/11 scoring drives
SMUTD3 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q1
EASTPUNT6 pl, 18 yds· own 37Q1
SMUPUNT7 pl, 26 yds· own 9Q1
EASTTD3 pl, -3 yds· own 12Q1
EASTPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 17Q1
SMUFUM3 pl, -6 yds· own 45Q1
EASTMISS5 pl, 34 yds· opp 39Q1
SMUTD6 pl, 80 yds· own 20Q1
EASTTD3 pl, -1 yds· own 25Q2
SMUINT11 pl, 58 yds· own 35Q2
EASTFG8 pl, 68 yds· own 20Q2
SMUPUNT3 pl, 19 yds· own 25Q2
EASTPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 36Q2
SMUPUNT7 pl, 10 yds· own 21Q2
EASTEND2 pl, 4 yds· own 17Q2
EASTTD11 pl, 67 yds· own 25Q3
EASTPUNT3 pl, -3 yds· own 24Q3
SMUDOWNS4 pl, 9 yds· own 35Q3
EASTFUM6 pl, 25 yds· opp 44Q3
SMUTD13 pl, 81 yds· own 19Q3
EASTPUNT7 pl, 7 yds· own 25Q4
SMUTD3 pl, 47 yds· opp 47Q4
EASTTD13 pl, 80 yds· own 20Q4
SMUFUM3 pl, 21 yds· own 25Q4
EASTFG8 pl, 31 yds· opp 46Q4
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
SMU up 25 entering the 4th quarter. Across 584 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
SMU went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of East Texas A&M vs. SMU?
East Texas A&M 13, SMU 42.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (SMU) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had SMU pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.