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SMU Mustangs

ACC··0-0
0 followers
Elo
1852
#19
SP+
13.4
#23
O22/D25
FPI
12.5
SRS
11.0
AP
#25

2026 Season Projection

model win prob · 11 to play
8.72.3
projected final record (now 00)
Exp. wins left
8.7
of 11 games
Bowl odds
100%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
96%
vs Syracuse
Toughest
9%
vs Notre Dame

Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank

Offense
Total yards / game
417.0#30
Yards / play
6.3#24
Passing yards / game
283.1#14
Rushing yards / game
133.9#95
First downs / game
20.7#62
3rd down %
40.8%#56
4th down %
66.7%#17
Time of possession
26:53#131
Defense
Yards allowed / game
395.2#89
Yards / play allowed
5.3#42
Pass yards allowed / game
283.2#135
Rush yards allowed / game
112.1#19
3rd down % allowed
36.1%#44
Sacks
36#14
Tackles for loss
82#26
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
+9#14
Takeaways
28#5
Giveaways
19#95
Penalties / game
7.0#105
Penalty yards / game
70.8#133

Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.

Advanced analytics

Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.

2026 Recruiting Class

Commits
14
Avg stars
3.50
Avg rating
0.8868
7 47 3
RecruitPosStarsRtg
Christian Rhodes#193 nat'lRB★★★★0.9252
Drew Evers#202 nat'lIOL★★★★0.9239
Sam Utu#255 nat'lIOL★★★★0.9116
Evan Goodwin#307 nat'lOT★★★★0.9048
Aljour Miles#335 nat'lWR★★★★0.9021
Jakai Anderson#443 nat'lWR★★★★0.8920
Edward Kelly Jr.#445 nat'lRB★★★★0.8917
X'Zavier Barnett#496 nat'lATH★★★★★0.8878
Markel Ford#564 nat'lS★★★★★0.8817
Izayah Young#622 nat'lLB★★★★★0.8794
Keith Dotie#1320 nat'lDL★★★★★0.8644
Andre Nickerson#1225 nat'lTE★★★★★0.8611
Ty Crethers#1924 nat'lWR★★★★★0.8500
Cole Leinart#2313 nat'lQB★★★★★0.8400

Program History

recent seasons
YearOverallConfWin %xWLuck
20259-46-2
69%
9.0+0.0
202411-38-1
79%
11.0-0.0
202311-39-0
79%
10.7+0.3
20227-65-3
54%
6.5+0.5
20218-44-4
67%
6.9+1.1
20207-34-3
70%
6.2+0.8
201910-36-2
77%
8.7+1.3
20185-74-4
42%
3.7+1.3
20177-64-4
54%
6.7+0.3
20165-73-5
42%
5.8-0.8

xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).

✓/✗ = whether our pregame model picked the winner. Win % & projections from the Gridpex model. Data: CollegeFootballData.