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Illinois State vs. Oklahoma: Final Score & Recap

Sat, Aug 30, 10:00 PM

335
Final
Oklahoma logo
Oklahoma
SEC· Elo 1650
Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
1234T
ILLI00303
OU71401435

Gridpex Model Prediction

One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.

Win Probability

Hover over the chart to see play details
OU (top)ILLI (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: OU 100%

Advanced Matchup — 2025

Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.

Drive-by-drive

ILLI 1/11 scoring drives← own end zone →OU 5/11 scoring drives
OUPUNT3 pl, 7 yds· own 25Q1
ILLIPUNT6 pl, 24 yds· own 14Q1
OUFUM3 pl, 23 yds· own 37Q1
ILLIPUNT4 pl, 19 yds· own 40Q1
OUTD10 pl, 94 yds· own 6Q1
ILLIPUNT7 pl, 21 yds· own 25Q1
OUTD4 pl, 77 yds· own 23Q2
ILLIPUNT5 pl, 17 yds· own 18Q2
OUTD15 pl, 81 yds· own 19Q2
ILLIEND2 pl, 7 yds· own 25Q2
ILLIPUNT5 pl, 24 yds· own 25Q3
OUPUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 12Q3
ILLIPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· midfieldQ3
OUINT3 pl, 9 yds· own 4Q3
ILLIFG4 pl, 7 yds· opp 22Q3
OUTD12 pl, 77 yds· own 23Q3
ILLIPUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 25Q4
OUDOWNS6 pl, 24 yds· own 36Q4
ILLIPUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 40Q4
OUTD8 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q4
ILLIPUNT5 pl, 20 yds· own 25Q4
OUEND2 pl, 3 yds· own 2Q4

Comparable Situations — historical outcomes

OU up 18 entering the 4th quarter. Across 838 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

97%
OU went on to win
A near-lock historically

FAQ

What was the final score of Illinois State vs. Oklahoma?

Illinois State 3, Oklahoma 35.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (OU) was correct.

Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.

🤖
Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take

Called it — I had OU pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.

Game thread

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Model estimates for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Data: CollegeFootballData.