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Merrimack vs. Kent State: Final Score & Recap
Sat, Aug 30, 4:00 PM
Dix Stadium
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MERR | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 17 |
| KENT | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Win Probability
Hover over the chart to see play details
KENT (top)MERR (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: KENT 100%
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
Drive-by-drive
MERR 4/13 scoring drives← own end zone →KENT 2/12 scoring drives
MERRPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 12Q1
KENTDOWNS4 pl, 9 yds· opp 48Q1
MERRPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 39Q1
KENTMISS14 pl, 79 yds· own 11Q1
MERRPUNT4 pl, 30 yds· own 20Q1
KENTPUNT5 pl, 36 yds· own 20Q2
MERRPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 8Q2
KENTPUNT4 pl, 6 yds· own 34Q2
MERRPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 27Q2
KENTTD6 pl, 76 yds· own 24Q2
MERRPUNT3 pl, 8 yds· own 25Q2
KENTPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 38Q2
MERRFG8 pl, 80 yds· own 11Q2
KENTPUNT3 pl, -5 yds· own 15Q3
MERRMISS7 pl, 28 yds· opp 47Q3
KENTPUNT4 pl, 20 yds· own 26Q3
KENTTD2 pl, 80 yds· own 20Q3
MERRFG14 pl, 55 yds· own 25Q3
MERRDOWNS11 pl, 34 yds· own 25Q4
MERRPUNT3 pl, -1 yds· own 12Q3
KENTEND4 pl, 8 yds· own 41Q4
KENTPUNT5 pl, 18 yds· own 31Q4
MERRTD4 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q4
KENTFUM3 pl, -6 yds· own 25Q4
MERRFG4 pl, 6 yds· opp 34Q4
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
KENT up 8 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,588 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
85%
KENT went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Merrimack vs. Kent State?
Merrimack 17, Kent State 21.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked MERR, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
🤖
Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I had MERR pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.