Texas vs. Ohio State: Final Score & Recap
Sat, Aug 30, 4:00 PM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| OSU | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 14 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
Our model blends Elo ratings (OSU Elo 1974, TEX Elo 1861) plus home-field advantage. That projects OSU -6.9 (70% to win) — 4.9 points of value on OSU versus the market line of -2.
Pregame Win Probability
Pick: OSU · 15 pts off the market line
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Offense
Defense
Key matchups · Pro
- OSU pass offense (0.54 PPA) vs. TEX pass defense (0.20 allowed) — edge OSU.
- TEX pass offense (0.29 PPA) vs. OSU pass defense (0.05 allowed) — edge TEX.
- TEX rush offense (0.08 PPA) vs. OSU rush defense (-0.09 allowed) — edge TEX.
Drive-by-drive
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
OSU up 7 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,299 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of Texas vs. Ohio State?
Texas 7, Ohio State 14.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (OSU) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
Called it — I had OSU pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.