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Charlotte vs. Ole Miss Prediction, Odds & Pick
Sat, Sep 12, 11:45 PM
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
MISS 2009
CLT 1023
Projected spread
MISS -48
incl. home edge
Model pick
MISS
100% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
100%
MISS (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (MISS Elo 2009, CLT Elo 1023) plus home-field advantage. That projects MISS -48 (100% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelCLT 0% · MISS 100%
Pick: MISS
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
CLT2025 season · higher-impact side highlightedMISS
Offense
-0.01
PPA / play
0.3034%
Success rate
48%1.28
Explosiveness
1.292.73
Pts / opportunity
4.4461%
Power success
78%Defense
0.26
PPA allowed / play
0.1354%
Success rate allowed
40%1.09
Explosiveness allowed
1.2911%
Havoc rate
17%14%
Stuff rate
18%Key matchups · Pro
- CLT rush offense (-0.15 PPA) vs. MISS rush defense (0.19 allowed) — edge MISS.
- MISS pass offense (0.46 PPA) vs. CLT pass defense (0.34 allowed) — edge MISS.
- MISS rush offense (0.15 PPA) vs. CLT rush defense (0.22 allowed) — edge CLT.
FAQ
Who will win Charlotte vs. Ole Miss?
Gridpex's model favors Ole Miss with a 100% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Charlotte vs. Ole Miss?
The model projects Ole Miss by 48.0.
What time is Charlotte vs. Ole Miss and what channel is it on?
Sat, Sep 12, 11:45 PM, at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this Ole Miss at 100% to win, projecting Ole Miss by 48.0.