Ole Miss Rebels
SEC··0-0
0 followers
Elo
2009
#8
SP+
24.0
#7
O3/D20
FPI
19.3
SRS
15.8
AP
#6
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 11 to play8.5 – 2.5
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
8.5
of 11 games
Bowl odds
99%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
100%
vs Charlotte
Toughest
51%
vs Georgia
💬Ole Miss Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
490.1#2
Yards / play
6.7#15
Passing yards / game
313.3#3
Rushing yards / game
176.7#45
First downs / game
25.4#3
3rd down %
43.1%#36
4th down %
67.7%#16
Time of possession
28:46#104
Defense
Yards allowed / game
348.1#48
Yards / play allowed
5.2#40
Pass yards allowed / game
198.9#37
Rush yards allowed / game
149.2#68
3rd down % allowed
37.2%#49
Sacks
33#27
Tackles for loss
83#24
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
+1#66
Takeaways
15#73
Giveaways
14#35
Penalties / game
5.5#44
Penalty yards / game
52.4#62
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
13
Avg stars
3.62
Avg rating
0.9035
8 4★5 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jase Mathews#95 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.9575 | Leakesville, MS |
| Landon Barnes#115 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.9499 | Duncanville, TX |
| Damarius Yates#126 nat'l | RB | ★★★★★ | 0.9456 | De Kalb, MS |
| Craig Tutt#233 nat'l | S | ★★★★★ | 0.9178 | Murfreesboro, TN |
| Dorian Barney#264 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.9106 | Carrollton, GA |
| Emanuel Tucker#320 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.9032 | New Albany, MS |
| JaMichael Garrett#379 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8974 | Baton Rouge, LA |
| Anthony Davis Jr.#462 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8902 | Loganville, GA |
| Iverson McCoy#463 nat'l | S | ★★★★★ | 0.8900 | Tupelo, MS |
| Nascar McCoy#603 nat'l | S | ★★★★★ | 0.8833 | Buford, GA |
| Rees Wise#622 nat'l | QB | ★★★★★ | 0.8794 | Austin, TX |
| Braylen Williams#1422 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8622 | Tupelo, MS |
| Case Thomas#1655 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8583 | Madison, MS |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-2 | 7-1 | 87% | 11.8 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 10-3 | 5-3 | 77% | 11.2 | -1.2 |
| 2023 | 11-2 | 6-2 | 85% | 9.4 | +1.6 |
| 2022 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 62% | 9.3 | -1.3 |
| 2021 | 10-3 | 6-2 | 77% | 9.0 | +1.0 |
| 2020 | 5-5 | 4-5 | 50% | 5.2 | -0.2 |
| 2019 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 33% | 5.1 | -1.1 |
| 2018 | 5-7 | 1-7 | 42% | 6.5 | -1.5 |
| 2017 | 6-6 | 3-5 | 50% | 5.6 | +0.4 |
| 2016 | 5-7 | 2-6 | 42% | 5.9 | -0.9 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).