← All games
Auburn vs. Ole Miss Prediction, Odds & Pick
Time TBD
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
MISS 2009
AUB 1670
Projected spread
MISS -15.3
incl. home edge
Model pick
MISS
87% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
87%
MISS (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (MISS Elo 2009, AUB Elo 1670) plus home-field advantage. That projects MISS -15.3 (87% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelAUB 13% · MISS 87%
Pick: MISS
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
AUB2025 season · higher-impact side highlightedMISS
Offense
0.17
PPA / play
0.3043%
Success rate
48%1.14
Explosiveness
1.293.90
Pts / opportunity
4.4480%
Power success
78%Defense
0.07
PPA allowed / play
0.1338%
Success rate allowed
40%1.29
Explosiveness allowed
1.2917%
Havoc rate
17%26%
Stuff rate
18%Key matchups · Pro
- MISS rush offense (0.15 PPA) vs. AUB rush defense (-0.11 allowed) — edge MISS.
- MISS pass offense (0.46 PPA) vs. AUB pass defense (0.27 allowed) — edge MISS.
- AUB rush offense (0.24 PPA) vs. MISS rush defense (0.19 allowed) — edge AUB.
FAQ
Who will win Auburn vs. Ole Miss?
Gridpex's model favors Ole Miss with a 87% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Auburn vs. Ole Miss?
The model projects Ole Miss by 15.3.
What time is Auburn vs. Ole Miss and what channel is it on?
Time TBD, at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
🤖
Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this Ole Miss at 87% to win, projecting Ole Miss by 15.3.