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Cincinnati vs. BYU Prediction, Odds & Pick
Time TBD
LaVell Edwards StadiumConference game
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
BYU 1750
CIN 1471
Projected spread
BYU -13.7
incl. home edge
Model pick
BYU
84% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
84%
BYU (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (BYU Elo 1750, CIN Elo 1471) plus home-field advantage. That projects BYU -13.7 (84% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelCIN 16% · BYU 84%
Pick: BYU
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
CIN2025 season · higher-impact side highlightedBYU
Offense
0.29
PPA / play
0.2246%
Success rate
46%1.31
Explosiveness
1.194.60
Pts / opportunity
4.0376%
Power success
82%Defense
0.21
PPA allowed / play
0.0945%
Success rate allowed
39%1.17
Explosiveness allowed
1.2212%
Havoc rate
16%15%
Stuff rate
21%Key matchups · Pro
- CIN pass offense (0.42 PPA) vs. BYU pass defense (0.18 allowed) — edge CIN.
- CIN rush offense (0.24 PPA) vs. BYU rush defense (0.06 allowed) — edge CIN.
- BYU rush offense (0.20 PPA) vs. CIN rush defense (0.17 allowed) — edge BYU.
FAQ
Who will win Cincinnati vs. BYU?
Gridpex's model favors BYU with a 84% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Cincinnati vs. BYU?
The model projects BYU by 13.7.
What time is Cincinnati vs. BYU and what channel is it on?
Time TBD, at LaVell Edwards Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this BYU at 84% to win, projecting BYU by 13.7.