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Notre Dame vs. Syracuse Prediction, Odds & Pick
Time TBD
JMA Wireless Dome
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
SYR 1182
ND 2243
Projected spread
SYR +37.3
incl. home edge
Model pick
ND
100% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
0%
SYR (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (SYR Elo 1182, ND Elo 2243) plus home-field advantage. That projects SYR +37.3 (0% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelND 100% · SYR 0%
Pick: ND
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
ND2025 season · higher-impact side highlightedSYR
Offense
0.36
PPA / play
0.0349%
Success rate
38%1.44
Explosiveness
1.214.79
Pts / opportunity
2.9862%
Power success
70%Defense
0.04
PPA allowed / play
0.2836%
Success rate allowed
45%1.28
Explosiveness allowed
1.3218%
Havoc rate
13%18%
Stuff rate
21%Key matchups · Pro
- ND rush offense (0.25 PPA) vs. SYR rush defense (0.11 allowed) — edge ND.
- SYR rush offense (0.00 PPA) vs. ND rush defense (0.04 allowed) — edge ND.
- ND pass offense (0.45 PPA) vs. SYR pass defense (0.44 allowed) — edge ND.
FAQ
Who will win Notre Dame vs. Syracuse?
Gridpex's model favors Notre Dame with a 100% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Notre Dame vs. Syracuse?
The model projects Notre Dame by 37.3.
What time is Notre Dame vs. Syracuse and what channel is it on?
Time TBD, at JMA Wireless Dome.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this Notre Dame at 100% to win, projecting Notre Dame by 37.3.