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Washington vs. Nebraska Prediction, Odds & Pick
Time TBD
Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)Conference game
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
NEB 1558
WASH 1866
Projected spread
NEB +9.9
incl. home edge
Model pick
WASH
77% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
23%
NEB (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (NEB Elo 1558, WASH Elo 1866) plus home-field advantage. That projects NEB +9.9 (23% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelWASH 77% · NEB 23%
Pick: WASH
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
WASH2025 season · higher-impact side highlightedNEB
Offense
0.29
PPA / play
0.1649%
Success rate
46%1.23
Explosiveness
1.094.58
Pts / opportunity
3.9377%
Power success
76%Defense
0.08
PPA allowed / play
0.2139%
Success rate allowed
43%1.18
Explosiveness allowed
1.2715%
Havoc rate
14%16%
Stuff rate
16%Key matchups · Pro
- WASH pass offense (0.38 PPA) vs. NEB pass defense (0.19 allowed) — edge WASH.
- NEB rush offense (0.13 PPA) vs. WASH rush defense (-0.03 allowed) — edge NEB.
- NEB pass offense (0.22 PPA) vs. WASH pass defense (0.20 allowed) — edge NEB.
FAQ
Who will win Washington vs. Nebraska?
Gridpex's model favors Washington with a 77% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Washington vs. Nebraska?
The model projects Washington by 9.9.
What time is Washington vs. Nebraska and what channel is it on?
Time TBD, at Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE).
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this Washington at 77% to win, projecting Washington by 9.9.