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#26Aeris Williams
Aeris Williams is a Explosive Back for Mississippi State. Aeris's 2016 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 141 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
2016 Production
Rushing
720 Rush yards4 Rush TD137 Carries5.3 Yards/carry
Receiving
7 Receptions45 Rec yards0 Rec TD6.4 Yards/rec
Performance Analysis · 2016 · vs RB peers
Player type
Explosive Back
Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.
Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency65th %ile · average
Key findings
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.09 from the first to second half of the season.
- ▸Peak game: 0.40 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Ole Miss (SP+ 12).
Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsSouth Alabama | L20-21 | -9.4 | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.14 |
| 2 | vsSouth Carolina | W27-14 | -4.0 | 5 | 21 | 4.2 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.03 |
| 3 | @LSU | L20-23 | 25.3 | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0.28 |
| 4 | @Massachusetts | W47-35 | -15.3 | 4 | 19 | 4.8 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.17 |
| 6 | vsAuburn | L14-38 | 15.3 | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.09 |
| 7 | @BYU | L21-28 | 8.0 | 21 | 82 | 3.9 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.05 |
| 8 | @Kentucky | L38-40 | -2.6 | 8 | 36 | 4.5 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 0.15 |
| 9 | vsSamford | W56-41 | — | 8 | 21 | 2.6 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.25 |
| 10 | vsTexas A&M | W35-28 | 12.0 | 24 | 140 | 5.8 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0.30 |
| 11 | @Alabama | L3-51 | 31.7 | 11 | 56 | 5.1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.15 |
| 12 | vsArkansas | L42-58 | 7.9 | 13 | 63 | 4.8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.30 |
| 13 | @Ole Miss | W55-20 | 12.4 | 25 | 191 | 7.6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.40 |
| 1 | vsMiami (OH) | W17-16 | -6.1 | 12 | 64 | 5.3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 0.24 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
Snap-share proxy
Overall
15.3%
Passing plays
2.1%
Rushing plays
26.6%
Standard downs
19.0%
Passing downs
6.7%
EPA by down type
- Standard downs
- 0.20
- Passing downs
- 0.10
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.31 / 0.18
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).