Aidan O'Connell is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Purdue. Aidan's 2021 season ranks in the 88th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 423 plays — a above-average rate for the QB.
2021 Production
Performance Analysis · 2021 · vs QB peers
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
- ▸Above-average efficiency for the QB position (88th percentile).
- ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Peak game: 0.79 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs UConn (SP+ -26).
NIL Market Tier· 2021
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stetson Bennett | Georgia | 2022 | 509 | 0.635 | 12.4 | 323.0 |
| Tanner Mordecai | SMU | 2021 | 510 | 0.630 | 14.0 | 321.5 |
| Kaidon Salter | Liberty | 2023 | 486 | 0.711 | 14.7 | 345.6 |
| Malik Cunningham | Louisville | 2021 | 502 | 0.681 | 14.7 | 341.6 |
| Blake Sims | Alabama | 2014 | 473 | 0.696 | 15.4 | 329.4 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | @UConn | W49-0 | -25.6 | 9/11 | 86 | 2 | 0 | 94.8 | — | — | 0.79 |
| 3 | @Notre Dame | L13-27 | 17.4 | 11/18 | 104 | 0 | 2 | 64.9 | 8 | 0 | 0.01 |
| 4 | vsIllinois | W13-9 | 4.3 | 12/19 | 182 | 1 | 2 | 61.5 | -10 | 0 | 0.71 |
| 5 | vsMinnesota | L13-20 | 14.4 | 34/52 | 371 | 1 | 1 | 72.7 | -44 | 0 | 0.31 |
| 7 | @Iowa | W24-7 | 11.4 | 30/40 | 375 | 2 | 0 | 98.3 | -2 | 1 | 0.68 |
| 8 | vsWisconsin | L13-30 | 20.1 | 24/32 | 200 | 1 | 3 | 53.6 | -35 | 0 | 0.14 |
| 9 | @Nebraska | W28-23 | 10.3 | 34/45 | 233 | 2 | 0 | 85.3 | -9 | 0 | 0.15 |
| 10 | vsMichigan State | W40-29 | 11.2 | 40/54 | 536 | 3 | 0 | 95.4 | -13 | 0 | 0.72 |
| 11 | @Ohio State | L31-59 | 29.3 | 40/52 | 390 | 4 | 0 | 91.6 | — | — | 0.50 |
| 12 | vsNorthwestern | W32-14 | -11.1 | 29/39 | 423 | 3 | 0 | 87.5 | -7 | 0 | 0.55 |
| 13 | vsIndiana | W44-7 | -7.8 | 26/31 | 278 | 4 | 0 | 86.0 | 1 | 0 | 0.60 |
| 1 | vsTennessee | W48-45 | 17.5 | 26/47 | 534 | 5 | 3 | 76.2 | -9 | 0 | 0.42 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.30
- Passing downs
- 0.68
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.45 / 0.68
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Career · rolling EPA, game by game
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.