Alex Tecza is a Pass-Catching Back for Navy. Alex's 2025 season ranks in the 30th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 155 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers
Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.26 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 0.72 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs Rice (SP+ -15).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
| Travis Etienne | Clemson | 2019 | 213 | 0.470 | 4.7 | 100.1 |
| Dalvin Cook | Florida State | 2016 | 292 | 0.340 | 4.3 | 99.3 |
| James Flanders | Tulsa | 2016 | 266 | 0.390 | 4.9 | 103.7 |
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2017 | 240 | 0.410 | 5.2 | 98.4 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsVMI | W52-7 | — | 15 | 89 | 5.9 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0.47 |
| 2 | vsUAB | W38-24 | -15.8 | 15 | 111 | 7.4 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0.45 |
| 3 | @Tulsa | W42-23 | -10.0 | 15 | 72 | 4.8 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.41 |
| 5 | vsRice | W21-13 | -14.8 | 11 | 104 | 9.5 | 0 | 3 | 53 | 0 | 0.72 |
| 6 | vsAir Force | W34-31 | -3.2 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.25 |
| 7 | @Temple | W32-31 | -5.1 | 7 | 30 | 4.3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0.30 |
| 9 | vsFlorida Atlantic | W42-32 | -8.7 | 16 | 55 | 3.4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 0 | — |
| 10 | @North Texas | L17-31 | 13.8 | 10 | 59 | 5.9 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0.45 |
| 11 | @Notre Dame | L10-49 | 24.4 | 5 | 20 | 4.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -0.37 |
| 12 | vsSouth Florida | W41-38 | 11.6 | 12 | 126 | 10.5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 0.12 |
| 14 | @Memphis | W28-17 | 7.6 | 26 | 103 | 4.0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0.07 |
| 16 | vsArmy | W17-16 | 0.8 | 9 | 50 | 5.6 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.10 |
| 1 | vsCincinnati | W35-13 | 4.5 | 16 | 80 | 5.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.16 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.28
- Passing downs
- 0.31
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.52 / 0.26
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).