Anderson Castle is a Committee Back for Duke. Anderson's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 127 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers
Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.47 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.00 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Elon.
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsElon | W45-17 | — | 3 | 69 | 23.0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1.00 |
| 2 | vsIllinois | L19-45 | 12.9 | 4 | 11 | 2.8 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0.28 |
| 3 | @Tulane | L27-34 | 6.3 | 3 | 21 | 7.0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 0.06 |
| 4 | vsNC State | W45-33 | 4.8 | 12 | 92 | 7.7 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0.72 |
| 5 | @Syracuse | W38-3 | -13.1 | 10 | 42 | 4.2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0.32 |
| 6 | @California | W45-21 | -3.2 | 10 | 28 | 2.8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.32 |
| 8 | vsGeorgia Tech | L18-27 | 9.3 | 11 | 32 | 2.9 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.06 |
| 10 | @Clemson | W46-45 | 9.5 | 5 | 24 | 4.8 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.24 |
| 11 | @UConn | L34-37 | 5.1 | 8 | 43 | 5.4 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.20 |
| 12 | vsVirginia | L17-34 | 11.1 | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | -0.44 |
| 13 | @North Carolina | W32-25 | -6.6 | 13 | 49 | 3.8 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.08 |
| 14 | vsWake Forest | W49-32 | 5.7 | 12 | 21 | 1.8 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 0 | -0.49 |
| 15 | vsVirginia | W27-20 | 11.1 | 16 | 35 | 2.2 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.01 |
| 1 | vsArizona State | W42-39 | 3.9 | 5 | 18 | 3.6 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.36 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.13
- Passing downs
- 0.06
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.12 / 0.13
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).