Scores
Dev
← Player leaders
Ashton Jeanty

#2Ashton Jeanty

Line value
8.4 pts
NFL Draft Outlook1st Round· model estimate based on position rank

Ashton Jeanty is a 2-year Featured Back for Boise State. Ashton's 2024 season ranks in the 90th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 384 plays — a elite rate for the RB.

2024 Production

Rushing
2601 Rush yards29 Rush TD374 Carries7.0 Yards/carry
Receiving
23 Receptions138 Rec yards1 Rec TD6.0 Yards/rec
Returns
1 Kick returns11 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

EfficiencyVolumeExplosivenessConsistencyReceiving
Player type
Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)90th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency72th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among RBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.44 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 1.02 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Georgia Southern (SP+ -2).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Derrick HenryAlabama20154110.4107.9168.5
Tavion ThomasCincinnati20214200.4108.1172.2
Chuba HubbardOklahoma State20193430.4508.2154.4
Devin SingletaryFlorida Atlantic20173190.5008.4159.5
Jay AjayiBoise State20143700.3706.7136.9

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Georgia Southern: +1.02 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Oregon: +0.52 EPA/play2Wk 4 vs Portland State: +0.54 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Washington State: +0.66 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Utah State: +0.93 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Hawai'i: +0.33 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs UNLV: +0.09 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs San Diego State: +0.19 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Nevada: +0.27 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs San José State: +0.12 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Wyoming: +0.31 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Oregon State: +0.11 EPA/play14Wk 15 vs UNLV: +0.28 EPA/play15Wk 1 vs Penn State: -0.30 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1@Georgia SouthernW56-45-1.72026713.463401.02
2@OregonL34-3726.0251927.732800.52
4vsPortland StateW56-141112711.500.54
5vsWashington StateW45-241.32625910.041700.66
6vsUtah StateW62-30-10.41318614.330.93
7@Hawai'iW28-7-10.9312177.0132010.33
9@UNLVW29-249.3331283.9131100.09
10vsSan Diego StateW56-24-15.4311494.8223100.19
11vsNevadaW28-21-15.2342096.1321200.27
12@San José StateW42-21-5.5321595.031500.12
13@WyomingW17-13-13.6191698.911400.31
14vsOregon StateW34-18-6.7372266.110.11
15vsUNLVW21-79.3322096.5121400.28
1vsPenn StateL14-3124.6301043.503220-0.30

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
41.0%
Passing plays
5.4%
Rushing plays
69.0%
Standard downs
47.7%
Passing downs
24.6%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.28
Passing downs
0.37
Pass / Rush EPA
0.34 / 0.29

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
2024
2023 — 2024 · 26 games
SeasonTeamLine valueWEPA/playYoY ΔTotal EPA
2023Boise State
2.8
0.29062.1
2024Boise State
8.4
0.430+0.14169.0

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.