#4B.J. Baylor
B.J. Baylor is a Featured Back for Oregon State. B.J.'s 2021 season ranks in the 25th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 218 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
2021 Production
Performance Analysis · 2021 · vs RB peers
The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.55 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 2.29 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Hawai'i (SP+ -2).
NIL Market Tier· 2021
On3 valuation ↗Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
| Dalvin Cook | Florida State | 2016 | 292 | 0.340 | 4.3 | 99.3 |
| Breece Hall | Iowa State | 2020 | 301 | 0.340 | 4.5 | 102.3 |
| James Flanders | Tulsa | 2016 | 266 | 0.390 | 4.9 | 103.7 |
| Hassan Haskins | Michigan | 2021 | 280 | 0.380 | 4.8 | 106.4 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Purdue | L21-30 | 10.3 | 9 | 24 | 2.7 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.07 |
| 2 | vsHawai'i | W45-27 | -2.3 | 18 | 171 | 9.5 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 2.29 |
| 3 | vsIdaho | W42-0 | — | 11 | 69 | 6.3 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.55 |
| 4 | @USC | W45-27 | -0.6 | 23 | 158 | 6.9 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0.38 |
| 5 | vsWashington | W27-24 | -0.7 | 20 | 111 | 5.6 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.28 |
| 6 | @Washington State | L24-31 | 6.7 | 18 | 145 | 8.1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0.21 |
| 8 | vsUtah | W42-34 | 15.2 | 19 | 152 | 8.0 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.27 |
| 9 | @California | L25-39 | 3.4 | 13 | 42 | 3.2 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.00 |
| 10 | @Colorado | L34-37 | -10.0 | 22 | 98 | 4.5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -0.03 |
| 11 | vsStanford | W35-14 | -10.2 | 23 | 80 | 3.5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0.01 |
| 12 | vsArizona State | W24-10 | 11.8 | 20 | 150 | 7.5 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.28 |
| 13 | @Oregon | L29-38 | 10.2 | 13 | 59 | 4.5 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.06 |
| 1 | vsUtah State | L13-24 | 0.1 | 18 | 78 | 4.3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0.17 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.25
- Passing downs
- 0.00
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.23 / 0.21
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Career · rolling EPA, game by game
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.