Baker Mayfield is a 3-year Dual-Threat QB for Oklahoma. Baker's 2016 season ranks in the 98th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 428 plays — a elite rate for the QB. Baker's production has improved each season, a positive development trajectory.
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Stroud | Ohio State | 2021 | 493 | 0.890 | 22.4 | 438.8 |
| Mac Jones | Alabama | 2020 | 457 | 0.830 | 19.2 | 379.3 |
| Kyler Murray | Oklahoma | 2018 | 563 | 0.875 | 24.5 | 492.9 |
| Jayden Daniels | LSU | 2023 | 461 | 0.783 | 17.5 | 360.8 |
| C.J. Stroud | Ohio State | 2022 | 476 | 0.746 | 17.5 | 355.2 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsHouston | L23-33 | 10.1 | 24/33 | 323 | 2 | 0 | 53.6 | -1 | 0 | 0.29 |
| 2 | vsUL Monroe | W59-17 | -21.3 | 14/20 | 244 | 3 | 0 | 98.4 | — | — | 0.88 |
| 3 | vsOhio State | L24-45 | 22.4 | 17/32 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Oklahoma | 14.1 | 0.561 | — | 323.7 |
| 2016 | Oklahoma | 22.5 | 0.854 | +0.29 | 413.2 |
| 2017 | Oklahoma | 21.5 | 0.798 | -0.06 | 437.3 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
C/ATT 19/28 · Pass Yds 296 · Pass TD 2 · INT 0
| 226 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 22.8 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0.28 |
| 5 | @TCU | W52-46 | 11.0 | 23/30 | 274 | 2 | 0 | 88.0 | 55 | 2 | 0.56 |
| 6 | vsTexas | W45-40 | 10.6 | 22/31 | 390 | 3 | 2 | 95.1 | 20 | 1 | 0.92 |
| 7 | vsKansas State | W38-17 | 8.2 | 25/31 | 346 | 4 | 1 | 87.8 | 25 | 0 | 0.71 |
| 8 | @Texas Tech | W66-59 | 3.7 | 27/36 | 545 | 7 | 0 | 99.0 | 19 | 0 | 1.15 |
| 9 | vsKansas | W56-3 | -15.9 | 16/24 | 236 | 4 | 0 | 91.2 | 16 | 0 | 0.72 |
| 10 | @Iowa State | W34-24 | 0.7 | 25/34 | 328 | 4 | 1 | 75.7 | -20 | 0 | 0.51 |
| 11 | vsBaylor | W45-24 | 11.3 | 20/25 | 300 | 2 | 1 | 95.5 | 12 | 1 | 0.61 |
| 12 | @West Virginia | W56-28 | 11.3 | 9/15 | 169 | 2 | 1 | 90.6 | 7 | 2 | 0.98 |
| 14 | vsOklahoma State | W38-20 | 16.4 | 13/19 | 288 | 3 | 0 | 95.5 | 5 | 0 | 1.16 |
| 1 | vsAuburn | W35-19 | 15.3 | 19/28 | 296 | 2 | 0 | 95.2 | 34 | 0 | 0.82 |
