Blake Horvath is a Dual-Threat QB for Navy. Blake's 2025 season ranks in the 8th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 334 plays — a developing rate for the QB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the QB mean. Model correlation r≈0.46 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.42 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 0.82 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Air Force (SP+ -3).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsVMI | W52-7 | — | 6/7 | 66 | 1 | 0 | 66.5 | 14 | 0 | 0.54 |
| 2 | vsUAB | W38-24 | -15.8 | 6/8 | 168 | 1 | 0 | 60.4 | 72 | 2 | 0.73 |
| 3 | @Tulsa | W42-23 | -10.0 | 6/10 | 94 | 1 | 2 | 72.2 | 159 | 1 | 0.43 |
| 5 | vsRice | W21-13 | -14.8 | 8/13 | 172 | 0 | 1 | 67.7 | 110 | 2 | 0.55 |
| 6 | vsAir Force | W34-31 | -3.2 | 20/26 | 339 | 3 | 0 | 71.2 | 130 | 1 | 0.82 |
| 7 | @Temple | W32-31 | -5.1 | 6/16 | 141 | 1 | 0 | 87.8 | 155 | 2 | 0.44 |
| 9 | vsFlorida Atlantic | W42-32 | -8.7 | 8/12 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 63.1 | 174 | 4 | — |
| 10 | @North Texas | L17-31 | 13.8 | 8/14 | 80 | 0 | 2 | 23.1 | 112 | 1 | -0.02 |
| 12 | vsSouth Florida | W41-38 | 11.6 | 8/15 | 147 | 1 | 0 | 59.7 | 60 | 0 | 0.10 |
| 14 | @Memphis | W28-17 | 7.6 | 5/9 | 100 | 1 | 0 | 93.0 | 54 | 1 | 0.53 |
| 16 | vsArmy | W17-16 | 0.8 | 7/14 | 82 | 1 | 1 | 20.2 | 107 | 1 | 0.15 |
| 1 | vsCincinnati | W35-13 | 4.5 | 9/15 | 108 | 2 | 0 | — | 53 | 1 | 0.04 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.28
- Passing downs
- 0.59
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.53 / 0.30
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).