#0Brenen Thompson

WR·Mississippi State·2025

Brenen Thompson is a Vertical Threat WR for Mississippi State. Brenen's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 78 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

projected

band 4%'25 9%12%

Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

2025 Production

Receiving

57 Receptions1054 Rec yards6 Rec TD18.5 Yards/rec

Returns

1 Punt returns44 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Player type

Vertical Threat WR

Elite deep receiver who stretches the field. Wins downfield, commands safety attention, and creates the threat that opens underneath routes.

Downfield threatYAC upsideCreates space for teammates

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency80th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸11 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.53 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 2.85 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Texas (SP+ 16).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Quadree Henderson	Pittsburgh	2016	63	0.530	1.6	33.4
DeAndre Hughes	Air Force	2021	60	0.470	1.3	28.2

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	@Southern Miss	W34-17	-7.1	7	92	13.1	0	51	0.17
2	vsArizona State	W24-20	3.9	6	133	22.2	2	58	2.01
3	vsAlcorn State	W63-0	—	2	53	26.5	1	42	0.62
4	vsNorthern Illinois	W38-10	-16.7	2	13	6.5	0	11	0.49
5	vsTennessee	L34-41	15.0	3	33	11.0	0	16	0.84
6	@Texas A&M	L9-31	20.7	2	54	27.0	1	44	1.18
8	@Florida	L21-23	3.5	7	155	22.1	0	47	0.62
9	vsTexas	L38-45	16.2	6	76	12.7	2	24	2.85
10	@Arkansas	W38-35	5.1	6	107	17.8	0	32	1.37
11	vsGeorgia	L21-41	24.1	4	92	23.0	0	57	1.69
12	@Missouri	L27-49	14.4	2	60	30.0	0	54	1.52
14	vsOle Miss	L19-38	24.0	6	80	13.3	0	18	0.31
1	vsWake Forest	L29-43	5.7	4	106	26.5	0	51	0.75

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

8.8%

Passing plays

18.4%

Rushing plays

0.8%

Standard downs

8.1%

Passing downs

10.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.56
Passing downs: 1.46
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.94 / 0.48

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).