#12Caden Creel

QB·Jacksonville State·2025

Caden Creel is a Dual-Threat QB for Jacksonville State. Caden's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 356 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

38%

projected

band 20%'25 39%56%

Regressed toward the QB mean. Model correlation r≈0.46 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

2025 Production

Passing

130/211 Comp/Att1514 Pass yards9 Pass TD4 INT61.6% Comp %

Rushing

1075 Rush yards7 Rush TD182 Carries5.9 Yards/carry

Returns

1 Punt returns4 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency66th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.84 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Murray State.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@UCF	L10-17	-1.2	1/1	18	0	0	99.3	14	0	0.32
2	vsLiberty	W34-24	-9.0	—	—	—	—	—	3	0	-0.26
3	@Georgia Southern	L34-41	-9.4	—	—	—	—	—	13	0	0.04
4	vsMurray State	W45-10	—	2/2	14	0	0	98.4	58	1	0.84
5	@Southern Miss	L25-42	-7.1	9/17	109	1	2	59.2	161	1	0.12
7	vsSam Houston	W29-27	-27.8	13/17	129	0	0	41.2	132	1	0.35
8	vsDelaware	W38-25	-10.9	14/21	116	1	0	31.7	57	0	0.09
10	@Middle Tennessee	W24-21	-16.0	13/19	139	1	0	18.7	31	0	0.14
11	@UTEP	W30-27	-17.5	15/31	181	1	1	73.9	134	0	0.23
12	vsKennesaw State	W35-26	-5.4	8/13	137	0	0	89.3	127	2	0.52
13	@Florida International	L21-27	-10.5	17/30	198	2	0	39.7	100	0	0.08
14	vsWestern Kentucky	W37-34	1.6	12/19	204	2	0	66.0	143	1	0.15
15	vsKennesaw State	L15-19	-5.4	12/21	96	0	1	53.4	112	1	0.20
1	vsTroy	W17-13	-4.8	14/20	173	1	0	30.1	-10	0	0.19

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

38.7%

Passing plays

64.7%

Rushing plays

24.9%

Standard downs

34.8%

Passing downs

48.4%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.12
Passing downs: 0.29
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.14 / 0.28

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).