Caden Knighten is a Committee Back for Baylor. Caden's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 100 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers
Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.09 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 0.86 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs Oklahoma State (SP+ -15).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsAuburn | L24-38 | 11.6 | 6 | 29 | 4.8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.40 |
| 2 | @SMU | W48-45 | 13.4 | 7 | 26 | 3.7 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | -0.18 |
| 3 | vsSamford | W42-7 | — | 10 | 34 | 3.4 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 0.35 |
| 4 | vsArizona State | L24-27 | 3.9 | 4 | 5 | 1.3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | -0.30 |
| 5 | @Oklahoma State | W45-27 | -15.1 | 5 | 81 | 16.2 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 0 | 0.86 |
| 6 | vsKansas State | W35-34 | 7.0 | 5 | -6 | -1.2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 | -0.37 |
| 8 | @TCU | L36-42 | 8.3 | 10 | 42 | 4.2 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.17 |
| 9 | @Cincinnati | L20-41 | 4.5 | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | 0 | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | vsUCF | W30-3 | -1.2 | 21 | 104 | 5.0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0.30 |
| 12 | vsUtah | L28-55 | 22.2 | 8 | 22 | 2.8 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.07 |
| 13 | @Arizona | L17-41 | 12.0 | 17 | 100 | 5.9 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.10 |
| 14 | vsHouston | L24-31 | 7.4 | 8 | 22 | 2.8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -0.12 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.06
- Passing downs
- 0.35
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.26 / 0.11
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).