#26Caleb Hawkins
Caleb Hawkins is a Featured Back for North Texas. Caleb's 2025 season ranks in the 53th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 210 plays — a average rate for the RB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers
The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.
- ▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.26 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 0.97 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs South Alabama (SP+ -13).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
| Dalvin Cook | Florida State | 2016 | 292 | 0.340 | 4.3 | 99.3 |
| Travis Etienne | Clemson | 2019 | 213 | 0.470 | 4.7 | 100.1 |
| Breece Hall | Iowa State | 2020 | 301 | 0.340 | 4.5 | 102.3 |
| Hassan Haskins | Michigan | 2021 | 280 | 0.380 | 4.8 | 106.4 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsLamar | W51-0 | — | 5 | 18 | 3.6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0.28 |
| 3 | vsWashington State | W59-10 | 3.8 | 8 | 50 | 6.3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0.53 |
| 4 | @Army | W45-38 | 0.8 | 13 | 99 | 7.6 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0.74 |
| 5 | vsSouth Alabama | W36-22 | -12.7 | 16 | 140 | 8.8 | 2 | 2 | 78 | 1 | 0.97 |
| 7 | vsSouth Florida | L36-63 | 11.6 | 15 | 49 | 3.3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | -0.47 |
| 8 | vsUTSA | W55-17 | 3.7 | 18 | 133 | 7.4 | 0 | 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.59 |
| 9 | @Charlotte | W54-20 | -26.7 | 13 | 48 | 3.7 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 2 | — |
| 10 | vsNavy | W31-17 | 6.2 | 33 | 197 | 6.0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0.17 |
| 12 | @UAB | W53-24 | -15.8 | 27 | 189 | 7.0 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0.39 |
| 13 | @Rice | W56-24 | -14.8 | 20 | 97 | 4.9 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0.15 |
| 14 | vsTemple | W52-25 | -5.1 | 25 | 186 | 7.4 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 0.26 |
| 15 | @Tulane | L21-34 | 6.3 | 7 | 20 | 2.9 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | -0.09 |
| 1 | vsSan Diego State | W49-47 | 6.7 | 31 | 198 | 6.4 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 1 | 0.18 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.30
- Passing downs
- 0.45
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.47 / 0.30
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).