#5Caleb Komolafe
Caleb Komolafe is a Committee Back for Northwestern. Caleb's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 168 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers
Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.23 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 0.44 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs UL Monroe (SP+ -22).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
| Dalvin Cook | Florida State | 2016 | 292 | 0.340 | 4.3 | 99.3 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Tulane | L3-23 | 6.3 | 9 | 34 | 3.8 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0.04 |
| 2 | vsWestern Illinois | W42-7 | — | 11 | 63 | 5.7 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.25 |
| 3 | vsOregon | L14-34 | 25.9 | 16 | 53 | 3.3 | 1 | 1 | -6 | 0 | 0.16 |
| 5 | vsUCLA | W17-14 | -8.7 | 27 | 119 | 4.4 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.27 |
| 6 | vsUL Monroe | W42-7 | -21.6 | 13 | 75 | 5.8 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.44 |
| 7 | @Penn State | W22-21 | 18.1 | 19 | 72 | 3.8 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0.23 |
| 8 | vsPurdue | W19-0 | -6.1 | 12 | 67 | 5.6 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.28 |
| 9 | @Nebraska | L21-28 | 6.2 | 17 | 125 | 7.4 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | @USC | L17-38 | 16.9 | 17 | 118 | 6.9 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 0 | 0.33 |
| 12 | vsMichigan | L22-24 | 12.4 | 12 | 31 | 2.6 | 1 | — | — | — | -0.37 |
| 13 | vsMinnesota | W38-35 | 1.5 | 22 | 129 | 5.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -0.25 |
| 1 | vsCentral Michigan | W34-7 | -8.8 | 15 | 55 | 3.7 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0.01 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.08
- Passing downs
- 0.36
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.08 / 0.14
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).