Carlos Del Rio-Wilson is a Clutch Passer for Marshall. Carlos's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 400 plays — a developing rate for the QB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the QB mean. Model correlation r≈0.46 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers
Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.17 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 0.61 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Middle Tennessee (SP+ -16).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Georgia | L7-45 | 24.1 | 2/3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 21.1 | 4 | 0 | -0.21 |
| 3 | vsEastern Kentucky | W38-7 | — | 7/9 | 108 | 2 | 0 | 71.2 | 58 | 1 | 0.36 |
| 4 | @Middle Tennessee | W42-28 | -16.0 | 18/22 | 261 | 4 | 0 | 83.1 | 22 | 1 | 0.61 |
| 5 | @Louisiana | L51-54 | -10.1 | 24/31 | 258 | 3 | 0 | 78.2 | 81 | 0 | 0.56 |
| 7 | vsOld Dominion | W48-24 | 5.9 | 17/24 | 219 | 2 | 0 | 82.1 | 95 | 2 | 0.38 |
| 8 | vsTexas State | W40-37 | 2.3 | 22/32 | 277 | 1 | 1 | 47.3 | 88 | 0 | 0.23 |
| 10 | @Coastal Carolina | L27-44 | -15.1 | 21/36 | 153 | 1 | 2 | 27.0 | 67 | 0 | 0.10 |
| 11 | vsJames Madison | L23-35 | 12.3 | 16/35 | 154 | 1 | 0 | 40.5 | 73 | 0 | -0.05 |
| 12 | @Georgia State | W30-18 | -24.5 | 22/27 | 321 | 3 | 0 | 78.6 | 97 | 0 | 0.50 |
| 13 | @App State | L24-26 | -11.4 | 13/21 | 146 | 0 | 1 | 66.9 | 71 | 2 | 0.23 |
| 14 | vsGeorgia Southern | L19-24 | -9.4 | 9/16 | 136 | 0 | 1 | 19.3 | 2 | 0 | 0.08 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.20
- Passing downs
- 0.41
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.37 / 0.13
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).