#26Carson Hansen
Carson Hansen is a Featured Back for Iowa State. Carson's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 192 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers
The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
- ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.13 from the first to second half of the season.
- ▸Peak game: 0.60 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Cincinnati (SP+ 5).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
| Dalvin Cook | Florida State | 2016 | 292 | 0.340 | 4.3 | 99.3 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsSouth Dakota | W55-7 | — | 9 | 19 | 2.1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -0.29 |
| 1 | vsKansas State | W24-21 | 7.0 | 16 | 71 | 4.4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 0 | -0.29 |
| 2 | vsIowa | W16-13 | 19.7 | 11 | 46 | 4.2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0.12 |
| 3 | @Arkansas State | W24-16 | -8.8 | 18 | 116 | 6.4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0.10 |
| 5 | vsArizona | W39-14 | 12.0 | 19 | 63 | 3.3 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 0 | 0.24 |
| 6 | @Cincinnati | L30-38 | 4.5 | 6 | 33 | 5.5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0.60 |
| 9 | vsBYU | L27-41 | 15.9 | 16 | 152 | 9.5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | — |
| 10 | vsArizona State | L19-24 | 3.9 | 18 | 113 | 6.3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0.07 |
| 11 | @TCU | W20-17 | 8.3 | 28 | 108 | 3.9 | 1 | — | — | — | -0.20 |
| 13 | vsKansas | W38-14 | 4.1 | 22 | 120 | 5.5 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 0.37 |
| 14 | @Oklahoma State | W20-13 | -15.1 | 24 | 109 | 4.5 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.17 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.07
- Passing downs
- 0.34
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.46 / 0.06
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Career · rolling EPA, game by game
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.