Chad Kelly is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Ole Miss. Chad's 2016 season ranks in the 65th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 398 plays — a average rate for the QB.
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stetson Bennett | Georgia | 2022 | 509 | 0.635 | 12.4 | 323.0 |
| Tanner Mordecai | SMU | 2021 | 510 | 0.630 | 14.0 | 321.5 |
| Kaidon Salter | Liberty | 2023 | 486 | 0.711 | 14.7 | 345.6 |
| Malik Cunningham | Louisville | 2021 | 502 | 0.681 | 14.7 | 341.6 |
| Ryan Higgins | Louisiana Tech | 2016 | 571 | 0.586 | 13.7 | 334.6 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsFlorida State | L34-45 | 24.0 | 21/39 | 313 | 4 | 3 | 66.8 | 15 | 0 | 0.31 |
| 2 | vsWofford | W38-13 | — | 20/27 | 219 | 3 | 0 | 93.4 | 13 | 0 | 0.65 |
| 3 | vsAlabama | L43-48 | 31.7 | 26/40 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
C/ATT 16/23 · Pass Yds 226 · Pass TD 1 · INT 0
| 421 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 67.3 |
| 43 |
| 0 |
| 0.54 |
| 4 | vsGeorgia | W45-14 | 9.3 | 18/24 | 282 | 2 | 0 | 92.5 | 53 | 1 | 0.84 |
| 5 | vsMemphis | W48-28 | 7.7 | 30/44 | 361 | 1 | 1 | 76.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.31 |
| 7 | @Arkansas | L30-34 | 7.9 | 18/39 | 253 | 1 | 1 | 55.4 | 89 | 2 | 0.29 |
| 8 | @LSU | L21-38 | 25.3 | 20/33 | 218 | 1 | 2 | 43.8 | 56 | 0 | 0.15 |
| 9 | vsAuburn | L29-40 | 15.3 | 36/59 | 465 | 3 | 1 | 65.2 | 40 | 0 | 0.35 |
| 10 | vsGeorgia Southern | W37-27 | -3.9 | 16/23 | 226 | 1 | 0 | 85.7 | 23 | 2 | 0.62 |
