#4Chase Belcher
Chase Belcher is a Explosive Back for Kennesaw State. Chase's 2025 season ranks in the 38th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 91 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers
Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.16 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.84 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs Middle Tennessee (SP+ -16).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | @Indiana | L9-56 | 32.4 | 8 | 27 | 3.4 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.25 |
| 4 | vsArkansas State | W28-21 | -8.8 | 3 | 14 | 4.7 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.26 |
| 5 | vsMiddle Tennessee | W24-16 | -16.0 | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 0 | 1 | 53 | 1 | 1.84 |
| 7 | vsLouisiana Tech | W35-7 | -1.3 | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.16 |
| 9 | @Florida International | W45-26 | -10.5 | 12 | 65 | 5.4 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | vsUTEP | W33-20 | -17.5 | 24 | 113 | 4.7 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0.11 |
| 11 | @New Mexico State | W24-21 | -15.5 | 13 | 81 | 6.2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0.53 |
| 12 | @Jacksonville State | L26-35 | -6.7 | 8 | 62 | 7.8 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0.42 |
| 13 | vsMissouri State | W41-34 | -10.7 | 11 | 15 | 1.4 | 0 | 3 | 65 | 1 | 0.37 |
| 14 | @Liberty | W48-42 | -9.0 | 7 | 24 | 3.4 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.17 |
| 15 | @Jacksonville State | W19-15 | -6.7 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | -0.07 |
| 1 | vsWestern Michigan | L6-41 | -1.4 | 16 | 148 | 9.3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 0.47 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.20
- Passing downs
- 0.57
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 1.17 / 0.15
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).