#1Colton Joseph
Colton Joseph is a Dual-Threat QB for Old Dominion. Colton's 2025 season ranks in the 10th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 325 plays — a developing rate for the QB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the QB mean. Model correlation r≈0.46 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.28 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 0.74 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Virginia Tech (SP+ -10).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Indiana | L14-27 | 32.4 | 11/22 | 96 | 0 | 3 | 62.0 | 179 | 2 | 0.58 |
| 2 | vsNorth Carolina Central | W54-6 | — | 19/24 | 257 | 3 | 0 | 63.5 | 52 | 1 | 0.58 |
| 3 | @Virginia Tech | W45-26 | -10.1 | 16/22 | 276 | 2 | 0 | 96.1 | 63 | 1 | 0.74 |
| 5 | vsLiberty | W21-7 | -9.0 | 18/26 | 271 | 3 | 1 | 66.2 | 76 | 0 | 0.41 |
| 6 | vsCoastal Carolina | W47-7 | -15.1 | 17/30 | 315 | 4 | 0 | 94.8 | 66 | 1 | 0.68 |
| 7 | @Marshall | L24-48 | -4.5 | 15/28 | 266 | 1 | 2 | 38.8 | 50 | 1 | 0.27 |
| 8 | @James Madison | L27-63 | 12.3 | 13/21 | 209 | 3 | 2 | 87.7 | 4 | 0 | 0.42 |
| 9 | vsApp State | W24-21 | -11.4 | 21/33 | 305 | 3 | 1 | 58.6 | 62 | 0 | — |
| 10 | @UL Monroe | W31-6 | -21.6 | 12/22 | 231 | 0 | 0 | 62.0 | 72 | 3 | 0.13 |
| 12 | vsTroy | W33-0 | -4.8 | 10/20 | 147 | 1 | 0 | 79.6 | 90 | 2 | 0.28 |
| 13 | @Georgia Southern | W45-10 | -9.4 | 12/18 | 140 | 1 | 0 | 87.1 | 189 | 1 | 0.38 |
| 14 | vsGeorgia State | W27-10 | -24.5 | 9/22 | 106 | 0 | 1 | -- | 108 | 1 | 0.13 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.27
- Passing downs
- 0.69
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.47 / 0.22
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).