Darian Mensah is a Dual-Threat QB for Duke. Darian's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 528 plays — a developing rate for the QB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the QB mean. Model correlation r≈0.46 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.18 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 0.59 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs Syracuse (SP+ -13).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsElon | W45-17 | — | 27/34 | 389 | 3 | 0 | 68.8 | -10 | 0 | 0.58 |
| 2 | vsIllinois | L19-45 | 12.9 | 23/34 | 334 | 2 | 1 | 68.4 | 2 | 0 | 0.41 |
| 3 | @Tulane | L27-34 | 6.3 | 30/51 | 313 | 3 | 1 | 71.0 | 2 | 0 | 0.32 |
| 4 | vsNC State | W45-33 | 4.8 | 19/28 | 269 | 3 | 0 | 88.2 | -2 | 0 | 0.50 |
| 5 | @Syracuse | W38-3 | -13.1 | 22/28 | 268 | 2 | 0 | 88.1 | -22 | 0 | 0.59 |
| 6 | @California | W45-21 | -3.2 | 22/30 | 265 | 2 | 0 | 86.6 | -18 | 0 | 0.33 |
| 8 | vsGeorgia Tech | L18-27 | 9.3 | 32/44 | 373 | 2 | 0 | 61.0 | -13 | 0 | 0.41 |
| 10 | @Clemson | W46-45 | 9.5 | 27/41 | 361 | 4 | 0 | 91.4 | -6 | 0 | 0.56 |
| 11 | @UConn | L34-37 | 5.1 | 22/31 | 222 | 3 | 2 | 74.8 | 3 | 0 | 0.32 |
| 12 | vsVirginia | L17-34 | 11.1 | 18/35 | 213 | 1 | 0 | 30.4 | -4 | 0 | -0.03 |
| 13 | @North Carolina | W32-25 | -6.6 | 20/33 | 175 | 1 | 0 | 84.6 | 27 | 0 | 0.25 |
| 14 | vsWake Forest | W49-32 | 5.7 | 24/35 | 268 | 2 | 0 | 90.1 | -12 | 1 | 0.35 |
| 15 | vsVirginia | W27-20 | 11.1 | 19/25 | 196 | 2 | 1 | 82.1 | 0 | 0 | 0.36 |
| 1 | vsArizona State | W42-39 | 3.9 | 29/51 | 327 | 4 | 1 | 60.5 | 21 | 0 | 0.02 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.26
- Passing downs
- 0.47
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.35 / 0.27
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Career · rolling EPA, game by game
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.