#11Deondre Johnson
Deondre Johnson is a Vertical Threat WR for Jacksonville State. Deondre's 2025 season produced 44.0 total EPA across 48 plays.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the WR mean. Model correlation r≈0.47 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers
Elite deep receiver who stretches the field. Wins downfield, commands safety attention, and creates the threat that opens underneath routes.
- ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
- ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
- ▸8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.60 from the first to second half of the season.
- ▸Peak game: 3.50 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Kennesaw State (SP+ -5).
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @UCF | L10-17 | -1.2 | 2 | 35 | 17.5 | 0 | 26 | 0.44 |
| 2 | vsLiberty | W34-24 | -9.0 | 1 | 24 | 24.0 | 0 | 24 | -0.39 |
| 3 | @Georgia Southern | L34-41 | -9.4 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | 0.01 |
| 7 | vsSam Houston | W29-27 | -27.8 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 | 0.95 |
| 10 | @Middle Tennessee | W24-21 | -16.0 | 4 | 131 | 32.8 | 2 | 56 | 2.56 |
| 11 | @UTEP | W30-27 | -17.5 | 1 | 77 | 77.0 | 1 | 77 | 1.47 |
| 12 | vsKennesaw State | W35-26 | -5.4 | 2 | 112 | 56.0 | 1 | 62 | 3.50 |
| 13 | @Florida International | L21-27 | -10.5 | 3 | 49 | 16.3 | 1 | 28 | -0.18 |
| 14 | vsWestern Kentucky | W37-34 | 1.6 | 5 | 122 | 24.4 | 1 | 34 | 1.30 |
| 15 | vsKennesaw State | L15-19 | -5.4 | 4 | 59 | 14.8 | 0 | 24 | 0.70 |
| 1 | vsTroy | W17-13 | -4.8 | 6 | 101 | 16.8 | 0 | 28 | 1.24 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.49
- Passing downs
- 1.56
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.96 / -1.03
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).