#17Drew Mestemaker

QB·North Texas·2025

Drew Mestemaker is a Dual-Threat QB for North Texas. Drew's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 412 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

42%

projected

band 24%'25 47%60%

Regressed toward the QB mean. Model correlation r≈0.46 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

2025 Production

Passing

319/465 Comp/Att4369 Pass yards34 Pass TD9 INT68.6% Comp %

Rushing

89 Rush yards5 Rush TD57 Carries1.6 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency79th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.81 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Rice (SP+ -15).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsLamar	W51-0	—	24/32	329	3	0	87.3	30	1	0.80
2	@Western Michigan	W33-30	-1.4	18/33	224	2	0	51.7	24	0	0.45
3	vsWashington State	W59-10	3.8	24/29	211	4	0	82.8	-5	0	0.58
4	@Army	W45-38	0.8	26/36	249	1	0	74.3	20	0	0.27
5	vsSouth Alabama	W36-22	-12.7	14/26	234	1	0	48.5	-4	1	0.27
7	vsSouth Florida	L36-63	11.6	30/48	326	2	3	47.6	0	1	0.31
8	vsUTSA	W55-17	3.7	22/35	277	4	0	68.3	7	1	0.44
9	@Charlotte	W54-20	-26.7	37/49	608	4	1	42.6	-7	0	—
10	vsNavy	W31-17	6.2	19/24	234	0	0	72.3	-14	0	0.46
12	@UAB	W53-24	-15.8	18/25	298	2	0	88.2	5	0	0.39
13	@Rice	W56-24	-14.8	19/23	469	3	0	99.2	1	1	0.81
14	vsTemple	W52-25	-5.1	20/24	366	3	0	98.8	—	—	0.77
15	@Tulane	L21-34	6.3	21/34	294	2	3	59.1	14	0	-0.07
1	vsSan Diego State	W49-47	6.7	27/47	250	3	2	70.3	18	0	-0.13

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

47.2%

Passing plays

91.4%

Rushing plays

7.5%

Standard downs

43.7%

Passing downs

57.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.24
Passing downs: 0.55
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.34 / 0.42

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).