#24Dylan Riley
Dylan Riley is a Committee Back for Boise State. Dylan's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 173 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers
Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
- ▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.44 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.29 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Eastern Washington.
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
| Dalvin Cook | Florida State | 2016 | 292 | 0.340 | 4.3 | 99.3 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @South Florida | L7-34 | 11.6 | 7 | 20 | 2.9 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.39 |
| 2 | vsEastern Washington | W51-14 | — | 6 | 123 | 20.5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1.29 |
| 4 | @Air Force | W49-37 | -3.2 | 19 | 171 | 9.0 | 4 | 2 | 84 | 1 | 0.99 |
| 5 | vsApp State | W47-14 | -11.4 | 16 | 46 | 2.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.33 |
| 6 | @Notre Dame | L7-28 | 24.4 | 5 | 33 | 6.6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0.35 |
| 7 | vsNew Mexico | W41-25 | 0.9 | 18 | 101 | 5.6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0.06 |
| 8 | vsUNLV | W56-31 | 4.3 | 15 | 201 | 13.4 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.54 |
| 9 | @Nevada | W24-3 | -13.4 | 12 | 34 | 2.8 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 0 | — |
| 10 | vsFresno State | L7-30 | 1.8 | 6 | 16 | 2.7 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 | -0.05 |
| 12 | @San Diego State | L7-17 | 6.7 | 21 | 79 | 3.8 | 1 | — | — | — | -0.08 |
| 13 | vsColorado State | W49-21 | -15.6 | 14 | 72 | 5.1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -0.02 |
| 14 | @Utah State | W25-24 | -3.1 | 25 | 120 | 4.8 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0.02 |
| 15 | vsUNLV | W38-21 | 4.3 | 21 | 75 | 3.6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -0.06 |
| 1 | vsWashington | L10-38 | 18.4 | 10 | 34 | 3.4 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.27 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.15
- Passing downs
- -0.01
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.24 / 0.10
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).