Fernando Mendoza is a Dual-Threat QB for Indiana. Fernando's 2025 season ranks in the 50th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 395 plays — a average rate for the QB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the QB mean. Model correlation r≈0.46 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
- ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
- ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
- ▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.32 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 0.95 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Indiana State.
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsOld Dominion | W27-14 | 5.9 | 18/31 | 193 | 0 | 0 | 66.9 | 33 | 1 | 0.05 |
| 2 | vsKennesaw State | W56-9 | -5.4 | 18/25 | 245 | 4 | 0 | 66.6 | 20 | 0 | 0.50 |
| 3 | vsIndiana State | W73-0 | — | 19/20 | 270 | 5 | 0 | 93.4 | 19 | 1 | 0.95 |
| 4 | vsIllinois | W63-10 | 12.9 | 21/23 | 267 | 5 | 0 | 93.6 | 4 | 0 | 0.87 |
| 5 | @Iowa | W20-15 | 19.7 | 13/23 | 233 | 2 | 1 | 68.5 | 26 | 0 | 0.55 |
| 7 | @Oregon | W30-20 | 25.9 | 20/31 | 215 | 1 | 1 | 88.6 | 31 | 0 | 0.23 |
| 8 | vsMichigan State | W38-13 | -3.4 | 24/28 | 332 | 4 | 0 | 97.1 | 18 | 0 | 0.81 |
| 9 | vsUCLA | W56-6 | -8.7 | 15/22 | 168 | 3 | 1 | 91.3 | 45 | 1 | — |
| 10 | @Maryland | W55-10 | 0.6 | 14/21 | 201 | 1 | 1 | 96.1 | 24 | 1 | 0.30 |
| 11 | @Penn State | W27-24 | 18.1 | 19/30 | 218 | 1 | 1 | 75.0 | 20 | 1 | 0.18 |
| 12 | vsWisconsin | W31-7 | -4.4 | 22/24 | 299 | 4 | 0 | 91.5 | -24 | 0 | 0.38 |
| 14 | @Purdue | W56-3 | -6.1 | 8/15 | 117 | 2 | 0 | 69.4 | 27 | 1 | -0.02 |
| 15 | vsOhio State | W13-10 | 30.1 | 15/23 | 222 | 1 | 1 | 90.2 | -3 | 0 | 0.50 |
| 1 | vsOregon | W56-22 | 25.9 | 17/20 | 177 | 5 | 0 | 98.5 | 28 | 0 | 0.21 |
| 1 | vsAlabama | W38-3 | 14.8 | 14/16 | 192 | 3 | 0 | 96.7 | 16 | 0 | 0.21 |
| 1 | vsMiami | W27-21 | 20.7 | 16/27 | 186 | 0 | 0 | 90.6 | -8 | 1 | 0.21 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.30
- Passing downs
- 0.79
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.45 / 0.54
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).