Giovanni Lopez

QB·North Carolina·2025

Giovanni Lopez is a Dual-Threat QB for North Carolina. Giovanni's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 287 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays

44%

projected

band 26%'25 51%62%

Regressed toward the QB mean. Model correlation r≈0.46 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.

2025 Production

Passing

170/261 Comp/Att1747 Pass yards10 Pass TD5 INT65.1% Comp %

Rushing

133 Rush yards3 Rush TD86 Carries1.5 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency60th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.26 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.65 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs Syracuse (SP+ -13).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsTCU	L14-48	8.3	4/10	69	0	1	1.9	-10	0	-0.34
2	@Charlotte	W20-3	-26.7	17/25	155	1	0	49.2	44	0	0.28
3	vsRichmond	W41-6	—	10/18	119	2	0	31.3	40	1	0.40
4	@UCF	L9-34	-1.2	11/14	87	0	2	15.5	-5	0	-0.07
8	@California	L18-21	-3.2	19/35	167	0	0	65.7	11	0	0.10
9	vsVirginia	L16-17	11.1	23/36	208	1	2	43.4	12	1	—
10	@Syracuse	W27-10	-13.1	15/19	216	2	0	86.4	33	0	0.65
11	vsStanford	W20-15	-11.8	18/25	203	2	0	53.0	-6	0	0.42
12	@Wake Forest	L12-28	5.7	21/36	201	0	0	66.3	2	0	0.16
13	vsDuke	L25-32	6.6	21/27	204	1	0	65.2	20	1	0.36
14	@NC State	L19-42	4.8	11/16	118	1	0	67.3	-8	0	0.07

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

50.5%

Passing plays

81.3%

Rushing plays

19.9%

Standard downs

44.9%

Passing downs

63.4%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.07
Passing downs: 0.48
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.22 / 0.23

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).