#1Isaac Brown
Isaac Brown is a Explosive Back for Louisville. Isaac's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 98 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
Recruiting Profile· Class of 2024
- Stars
- ★★★★★
- 247 composite
- 0.8869
- National rank
- #524
- High school
- Homestead
- Hometown
- Homestead, FL
Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers
Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.59 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 1.75 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Eastern Kentucky.
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsEastern Kentucky | W51-17 | — | 6 | 126 | 21.0 | 2 | — | — | — | 1.75 |
| 2 | vsJames Madison | W28-14 | 12.3 | 12 | 104 | 8.7 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0.23 |
| 4 | vsBowling Green | W40-17 | -12.6 | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.46 |
| 5 | @Pittsburgh | W34-27 | 8.4 | 14 | 20 | 1.4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | -0.24 |
| 6 | vsVirginia | L27-30 | 11.1 | 13 | 66 | 5.1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -0.04 |
| 8 | @Miami | W24-21 | 20.7 | 15 | 113 | 7.5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0.18 |
| 9 | vsBoston College | W38-24 | -8.5 | 14 | 205 | 14.6 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | @Virginia Tech | W28-16 | -10.1 | 16 | 130 | 8.1 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.13 |
| 1 | vsToledo | W27-22 | 6.0 | 10 | 102 | 10.2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0.31 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.22
- Passing downs
- 0.07
- Pass / Rush EPA
- -0.26 / 0.28
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Career · rolling EPA, game by game
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.