Jaden Nixon is a Pass-Catching Back for UCF. Jaden's 2025 season ranks in the 15th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 80 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
2026 Usage Outlook · projected share of team plays
Regressed toward the RB mean. Model correlation r≈0.52 on a 2019-2025 walk-forward — volume only; efficiency not projected.
2025 Production
Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers
Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.
- ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
- ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
- ▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
- ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
- ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.44 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
- ▸Peak game: 2.91 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs North Carolina A&T.
NIL Market Tier· 2025
On3 valuation ↗Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsJacksonville State | W17-10 | -6.7 | 2 | -6 | -3.0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 | -0.87 |
| 2 | vsNorth Carolina A&T | W68-7 | — | 4 | 156 | 39.0 | 2 | — | — | — | 2.91 |
| 4 | vsNorth Carolina | W34-9 | -6.6 | 5 | 10 | 2.0 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 0.58 |
| 5 | @Kansas State | L20-34 | 7.0 | 5 | 66 | 13.2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0.89 |
| 6 | vsKansas | L20-27 | 4.1 | 7 | 60 | 8.6 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.01 |
| 7 | @Cincinnati | L11-20 | 4.5 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | -0.40 |
| 8 | vsWest Virginia | W45-13 | -6.8 | 7 | 116 | 16.6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.97 |
| 10 | @Baylor | L3-30 | 1.4 | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.13 |
| 11 | vsHouston | L27-30 | 7.4 | 11 | 62 | 5.6 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 0.20 |
| 12 | @Texas Tech | L9-48 | 27.6 | 15 | 32 | 2.1 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 0 | -0.15 |
| 13 | vsOklahoma State | W17-14 | -15.1 | 7 | 28 | 4.0 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.06 |
| 14 | @BYU | L21-41 | 15.9 | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -0.37 |
Usage & Situational · Pro
- Standard downs
- 0.20
- Passing downs
- 0.39
- Pass / Rush EPA
- 0.25 / 0.25
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).