Jaret Patterson is a 3-year Explosive Back for Buffalo. Jaret's 2018 season ranks in the 43th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 183 plays — a developing rate for the RB. Jaret's production has improved each season, a positive development trajectory.
Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Etienne | Clemson | 2019 | 213 | 0.470 | 4.7 | 100.1 |
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2017 | 240 | 0.410 | 5.2 | 98.4 |
| James Flanders | Tulsa | 2016 | 266 | 0.390 | 4.9 | 103.7 |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | LSU | 2019 | 216 | 0.490 | 5.0 | 105.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsDelaware State | W48-10 | — | 9 | 34 | 3.8 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.09 |
| 2 | @Temple | W36-29 | 2.9 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Buffalo | 2.7 | 0.340 | — | 63.6 |
| 2019 | Buffalo | 5.6 | 0.370 | +0.03 | 118.0 |
| 2020 | Buffalo | 8.7 | 0.540 | +0.17 | 86.9 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
Car 15 · Rush Yds 67 · Avg 4.5 · Rush TD 1
| 0 |
| — |
| — |
| — |
| -0.40 |
| 3 | vsEastern Michigan | W35-28 | -2.0 | 9 | 35 | 3.9 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.48 |
| 4 | @Rutgers | W42-13 | -12.3 | 14 | 104 | 7.4 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.35 |
| 5 | vsArmy | L13-42 | -1.5 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.40 |
| 6 | @Central Michigan | W34-24 | -20.0 | 18 | 121 | 6.7 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0.33 |
| 7 | vsAkron | W24-6 | -19.3 | 17 | 91 | 5.4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0.23 |
| 8 | @Toledo | W31-17 | 2.0 | 20 | 90 | 4.5 | 2 | — | — | — | -0.07 |
| 10 | vsMiami (OH) | W51-42 | -0.7 | 23 | 96 | 4.2 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.06 |
| 11 | vsKent State | W48-14 | -20.4 | 18 | 187 | 10.4 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.46 |
| 12 | @Ohio | L17-52 | 4.0 | 8 | 23 | 2.9 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.27 |
| 13 | @Bowling Green | W44-14 | -22.0 | 11 | 88 | 8.0 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.86 |
| 14 | vsNorthern Illinois | L29-30 | -2.7 | 18 | 72 | 4.0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0.33 |
| 1 | vsTroy | L32-42 | 2.6 | 15 | 67 | 4.5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0.15 |
