Jaret Patterson is a 3-year Featured Back for Buffalo. Jaret's 2020 season ranks in the 98th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 141 plays — a elite rate for the RB. Jaret's production has improved each season, a positive development trajectory.
The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrell Henderson | Memphis | 2018 | 226 | 0.590 | 7.3 | 133.3 |
| Travis Etienne | Clemson | 2018 | 214 | 0.620 | 6.8 | 132.7 |
| Anthony Wales | Western Kentucky | 2016 | 235 | 0.570 | 7.0 | 134.0 |
| Devon Johnson | Marshall | 2014 | 208 | 0.520 | 6.0 | 108.2 |
| RJ Harvey | UCF | 2024 | 242 | 0.470 | 6.9 | 113.7 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | @Northern Illinois | W49-30 | -18.4 | 20 | 137 | 6.9 | 2 | 0.33 |
| 11 | vsMiami (OH) | W42-10 | -12.9 | 20 | 73 | 3.7 | 2 | 0.18 |
| 12 | @Bowling Green | W42-17 | -26.2 | 31 | 301 | 9.7 | 4 | 0.83 |
| 13 | vsKent State | W70-41 | -7.5 | 36 | 409 | 11.4 | 8 | 0.90 |
| 15 | vsAkron | W56-7 | -23.7 | 16 | 105 | 6.6 | 2 | 0.41 |
| 16 | vsBall State | L28-38 | -6.7 | 18 | 47 | 2.6 | 1 | -0.18 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Buffalo | 2.7 | 0.340 | — | 63.6 |
| 2019 | Buffalo | 5.6 | 0.370 | +0.03 | 118.0 |
| 2020 | Buffalo | 8.7 | 0.540 | +0.17 | 86.9 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
Car 18 · Rush Yds 47 · Avg 2.6 · Rush TD 1
